struggle to meet their obligations, leading to increased default rates. This deterioration in asset quality can significantly impact community banks, which often have concentrated loan portfolios tied to local economies. It’s a bit of a non-sequitur to claim inverted curves cause a decline in credit quality. It’s more like the curve is reacting to that expectation. A rise in non-performing loans can strain capital reserves and lead to regulatory scrutiny. Conclusion The shape of the Treasury yield curve is a pivotal factor influencing the operations and financial health of community banks. A normal upward-sloping curve supports profitable lending practices and encourages economic growth, while an inverted or flat curve presents challenges related to interest rate risk, profitability, and asset quality. Community banks must remain vigilant and adaptable to changes in the yield curve, employing sound risk management strategies and maintaining strong relationships with their local communities. Understanding these dynamics is essential for community banks as they strive to navigate the complexities of the financial landscape and continue to support their local economies. Jim Reber (jreber@icbasecurities.com) is president and CEO of ICBA Securities, ICBA’s institutional, fixed-income broker-dealer for community banks. Education on Tap Thanks to ICBA Affiliates for Your 2024 Support ICBA Securities and its exclusive broker-dealer Stifel participated in education events for 28 ICBA state affiliates this year, which is the most in our history. We are grateful for the relationships and look forward to more collaboration in 2025. 7 In Touch
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