Pub 10 2021 Issue 2
Pub. 10 2021 Issue 2 19 it was signed into law in Kansas in February, and additional states are pushing the same legislation. There were four breakout sessions: • Crop Insurance • Financial & Marketing Analysis • Ag Stress • More Effectively Resolving Distressed Ag Loans in Kansas Attendees then listened to a panel discussion, “Managing Credit Risk and Regulatory Relationships: Thinking Differently Together.” Presenters were Doug Johnson, Ag Strategist from Moody’s Analytics; John Jilovec, Deputy Regional Director from Kansas City Region of FDIC; and Mike Jackson, Vice President at Ford County State Bank in Spearville. The panel shared concerns, challenges and found opportunities in the current Ag Era. The first day wrapped up with “The Business of Agriculture” presented by Damian Mason, Producer, Host and Author and Agriculturalist. Damian provided a discussion about trends and issues impacting the future of food and agriculture. Day two started with Randy Blach, CEO of CattleFax, as he opened his outlook stating, “You think about the timing of the Tyson fire we had last year, and the market was depressed in September and October, we had a backlog, and the prices were lower than normal,” Blach said. Over the past couple of years, the cattle industry has navigated two Black Swan events, with the most recent supply chain challenges because of the coronavirus pandemic. Randy Blach stated that nearly 1 million head of fat cattle were backed up as a result. “The slaughter is pretty well back on pace, but record tonnage is being put through the system. That is testing these markets that are still under-performing relative to the potential out front.” The markets have somewhat recovered from lows in the summer of 2020. At that point, cattle were selling for $95 per hundredweight. Cash cattle prices are now around $114 per cwt. Blach realized that cattle producers are frustrated with the current market situation but believes a more optimistic outlook lies ahead. “There have been weather impacts the last couple of weeks that will shave some tonnage off these markets, and we’re now in a situation where global demand for ag products will increase. This should be a nice run for the ag industry over the next three-to-four years.” Paul Mussman then provided his insightful presentation, “Update on Ag Markets and The Tools Farmers Can Use to Reduce Risk.” Mussman shared tips for marketing and profitable decision- making amid a challenging economy. The 2021 annual meeting of the Kansas Ag Bankers Division was called to order by KAB Division President Tim Smith from First State Bank in Plainville. KAB Secretary/Treasurer David White from Intrust Bank in Wichita reviewed the minutes from the 2020 annual meeting and the current financial report. Following an introduction of the board members by Tim Smith, the KAB Board honored the passing of Dr. Barry Flinchbaugh with a moment of silence. Past President Elsa Havel from Grant County Bank in Ulysses presented the nominating report. Following the nominating process, Jay Meyer from Centera Bank in Sublette was inducted as the new KBA Kansas Ag Bankers Division President. The Vice President is David White, and the Secretary- Treasurer is Mikel Hadachek from Astra Bank in Belleville. Eric Snodgrass closed the conference with his ever-popular weather update. Record-setting rains defined 2019 while flash drought, a derecho, 30 tropical cyclones, and western wildfires dominated weather headlines in 2020. Weather variability is the largest source of risk in production agriculture, and each year brings a new set of challenges to manage that risk throughout the growing season. Winter 2020-21 featured a fading La Nina, regional drought across Brazil and Argentina, and nearly 60% of the lower-48 was covered in some drought stage. So, what does this mean for planting season and into the summer? Snodgrass says the models are pointing to similar patterns that were present in 2020. “The corn and soybean belt will likely see above-average temperatures into May and June with some early-season drought. Then as the heat sets up, it will migrate west as we get into July and August,” he says. He notes the climate has already reshaped parts of the 2021 growing season. Since 1948, between March and May, the primary corn and soybean belt states have measured a 2” increase in precipitation. As for temperatures, they’ve warmed about one degree. Thanks to the following sponsors: Platinum – Schools of Banking, Bajillion Agency, Country Banker, Bankers’ Bank of Kansas, FarmerMac; Gold – Ag Risk Solutions, INTRUST Bank NA; Silver – First National Bank of Hutchinson, KBA Insurance Inc., FHLBank Topeka, Security 1st Title, Kansas Corn, Fort Hays State University Robbins College of Business and Entrepreneurship, Kansas Soybean Commission, AgWest Commodities. The next Kansas Ag Bankers Conference will be on March 2-3, 2022, at the Hilton Garden Inn and Convention Center in Manhattan, Kansas.
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