The CommunityBanker 12 By Dana Sparkman, CFA, The Baker Group Municipal bond investors finally have some good news regarding public pension plans after worrying about growing unfunded pension liabilities for many years. The Pew Charitable Trusts reports that aggregate state retirement systems are over 80% funded for the first time since 2008, following record investment returns for the fiscal year ending in 2021. In an effort to earn higher returns in an era of low-interest rates, pension fund managers have broadly been shifting asset allocations to a higher concentration of risky assets such as private equity and hedge funds. The National Association of State Retirement Administrators (NASRA) reports that alternative investments comprised 21% of the investment portfolios of public pension funds surveyed in 2021 compared to only about 5% in 2005. According to NASRA, investment returns have historically accounted for 61% of public pension fund revenue from 1991 to 2020, making it a large contributor to the overall performance of a pension plan. This strategy of taking on more risk to potentially earn a higher return proved very profitable during 2021 as risky assets outperformed assumed rates of return, and most public pension plans earned returns greater than 25%, with some plans even hitting their highest single-year return in their history. Source: Public Plans Database; Census of Governments Public Pension Update Most public pension plans now have betterfunded positions and lower net pension liabilities, which should lead to lower growth in annual required contributions from municipalities and will help to relieve some budget pressure for those municipalities.
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